CMC Markets 专栏- 买入德指的价格区间价位在哪里？

CMC Markets 专栏- 买入德指的价格区间价位在哪里？

作为欧洲经济体的主要支撑德国的生产力始终受投资者看好，德国指数30一向倍受追捧，从德国近期工业制造业经理人指数的表现上看，虽然近期受到全球经济下行影响，但始终运行于盛衰线50.0以上，反映了德国的生产力仍旧是欧洲地区经济较坚挺的典范。而德指30近期有震荡下行的态势，多头的买入价格应该从哪里入手？
 
技术形态上来看，天图中德指30技术指标MACD与STOCH均已出现向下插入中线的迹象，说明短期内德指会有进一步的下跌可能。从图形上来看德指30已经形成近似双顶的形态，此时已经突破颈线位置向下突破的态势，我们说双顶形态一般意义上来讲，向下下行的距离应该等同于其颈线与头部的距离，那么以这条理论来看，其下一步的下行目标应该为10350附近的位置，也正是由2014年10月12日低点向上拉伸黄金分割线至2015年4月10日高点50.0%回荡线附近的位置，这里也许是多头第一需要关注的买入区间。从德指30月图上看依旧运行于上升趋势中，上升趋势线与50.0%回荡线的交叉位置也基本是10300附近的位置，加之又与近期的下降趋势线交点基本吻合，再次可以说明这个位置将为多头可以考虑的潜在买入空间。同时，如果寻找月图下方的进一步潜在支持位置，我们可以看到回荡线61.8%附近的9800附近，这里同时也是前期高点阻力位置的区间，理论上讲，阻力位置被突破以后将成为后期的支持位置。综合来看，德指30的逐步买入区间将在9800-10350附近。

作者：Tina Teng- CMC Markets 销售与客户培训主管
 
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